Game: Green Bay Packers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Odds: Packers -1, Chiefs +1
Tonight’s Packers-Chiefs matchup is really all about who will play tonight. The Packers, who haven’t had much preseason success playing on the road, were considering playing QB Aaron Rodgers and some of the team’s other starters. That is what shifted the line from the Chiefs -4.5 to Green Bay -1. On the other side, Chiefs head coach Andy Reid will not play QB Patrick Mahomes who got enough preseason work last week. It’s doubtful any of the Chiefs’ starters will play at all.
Green Bay is only 3-8 SU and ATS in its last 11 preseason games overall. They are even worse in preseason road games. The Packers are 0-7 SU the last seven times they have played away from home in the preseason. Green Bay is also 0-6-1 ATS in those seven games. The Packers actually won their first preseason game since 2019 last week. Green Bay beat New Orleans 20-10 at home at Lambeau Field. The Packers had lost four straight preseason games prior to that victory.
Quarterback Jordan Love, Rodgers’ backup, went 12-for-24 for 113 yards passing and one touchdown. Green Bay head coach Matt LaFleur has yet to rule out Rodgers from playing tonight. Whether he does or not, it will be Love who gets the majority of the snaps.
Kansas City also won its preseason game last week. The Chiefs beat Washington 24-14 behind a solid performance from Mahomes. The Chiefs starter went 12-for-19 for 162 yards and two touchdowns. That was enough for Reid. He knows exactly what Mahomes can do. Tonight, Reid will hand the keys of the offense over to backups Chad Henne and Shane Buechele. Henne is a veteran NFL backup with Buechele hot on his tail for the Chiefs’ No. 2 quarterback job. With Mahomes on the sideline, that is why the Chiefs are now a 1-point home underdog.
The Chiefs have had a little more success in the preseason than Green Bay lately. Over their last 25 preseason games, Kansas City is 15-10. In the last 15 preseason games at home at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs are 10-5 SU and 7-7-1 ATS. Over the last five preseason games, KC is 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. Those numbers are much better than Green Bay.
LaFleur ultimately did decide that Green Bay’s starters would not play tonight. Still, the Packers remain a slight road favorite. Covering the spread will be much easier said than done. Green Bay is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight preseason games. However, the Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Kansas City.
Green Bay has been one of the better-scoring teams in the NFL over the past several seasons. Despite Rodgers not playing at all this preseason, Green Bay has still managed to score. It’s been that way over the past few preseasons. In their last 10 preseason games, Green Bay has seen the game total go Over seven times.
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