NBA Game Preview: Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies

Mar 28, 2022

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Game: Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies 

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET 

Odds:  Warriors +10.5, Grizzlies -10.5 

Total: 221.5 

No Ja Morant? No problem. The Memphis Grizzlies have weathered the storm just fine without their MVP candidate and leading scorer Ja Morant. The Memphis point guard has been out of the lineup recently with a knee issue, but the Grizzlies have kept on rolling. Memphis is now 17-2 this season in games without Morant. On Saturday, the Grizzlies took care of defending NBA champion Milwaukee 127-102. Morant remains out indefinitely.  

In addition to winning four in a row and eight of their last nine, Memphis has been dominating teams. In their current four-game winning streak, the Grizzlies have won each game by at least 12 points. They beat the Bucks by 25, the Pacers by 30, and the Rockets by 24. It’s no surprise the Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in those four games.  

Memphis plays well at home. The Grizzlies are 27-10 SU and 24-13 ATS at home this season. Golden State has struggled on the road. The Warriors are one of the best in the NBA at home (29-9), but they are just 19-18 SU and 16-19-2 ATS on the road. The Warriors will be without their star Stephen Curry who has been out since mid-March with a foot injury. Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, and Otto Porter Jr. are all listed as doubtful for tonight and Andre Iguodala is questionable. 

Since Curry has been out of the lineup, the Warriors are scoring just 102.8 points per game. Memphis, on the other hand, is third in the league in scoring averaging 115.3 points per game. Over their last four, the Grizzlies are scoring 128.5 points per game and without Morant this season Memphis still averages 118 points a game. In their 8-1 run over their last nine games, the Grizzlies have scored at least 118 points in all but one game. Not surprisingly, that was the only loss for Memphis in those nine games, a 120-105 defeat at Atlanta. 

Over each team’s last six games, they have many different records against the number. Memphis is 5-1 ATS while the Warriors are 1-5 ATS. Golden State has struggled against the Grizzlies recently. In the last nine meetings between the two teams, the Warriors are just 3-6 SU and ATS. Memphis has won two of three games this season and won the last meeting 116-108 at home back in January.  

As prolific as Memphis has been this season, the total in the last five Grizzlies games has gone Under three times (1-3-1 O/U). For the season, the Grizzlies’ O/U record is 38-33-4. Against Golden State, the Under has been the trend. In the last ten games in the series, the Under is 7-3. In the Grizzlies’ win back in January, the total went Over and the O/U mark in the three games this season is 1-1-1. For the Warriors, the trend has been Over. In Golden State’s last 20 games, the Over has hit in 13 of them.