NBA Game Preview: Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors

Apr 27, 2022

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Game: Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors 

Time: 10:00 p.m. ET 

Odds:  Nuggets +9, Warriors -9 

Total: 226 

Golden State had a chance to sweep the Denver Nuggets, but Nikola Jokic had other plans. The reigning NBA MVP scored 37 points in a Game 4 Nuggets win that extended this first-round playoff series for at least one more game. The Warriors can clinch the series tonight with a win at home at the Chase Center tonight. Golden State is averaging over 122 points per game as Denver has yet to figure out how to slow down the Warriors’ offense. 

Jokic has been the only Denver player that has excelled during the series. He is averaging 31.3 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 5.3 assists a game so far. His 37 points last game helped Denver build a 17-point lead at one point, but the Warriors showed just how dangerous they are when they battled back and actually took the lead late in the fourth quarter. Jokic and Denver had to retake the lead and managed to get away with a win in Game 4. 

Stephen Curry had 33 points for the Warriors in Game 4. Teammate Klay Thompson added 32. For the series, Curry is averaging 27.5 points per game and Thompson isn’t far behind at 24.5. Golden State will have to be careful as Denver has won this year at the Chase Center. However, climbing their way out of a 3-1 hole in a playoff series is a lot different than a regular season game. 

With that Game 4 victory, Denver is now just 1-4 SU in its last five games. The Nuggets are also 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 1-4 SU in their last five games against Golden State. The Nuggets are not a strong team against the number this year. Overall, Denver is 38-48 ATS this season. The Nuggets do have a 22-21 ATS record on the road. 

Golden State has won eight of its last nine games and the Warriors are 8-2 ATS in those 10 games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 7-2 ATS in the last nine games against Denver at home. Golden State has been one of the better teams in the league against the number this season. The Warriors are 44-38-4 ATS this season and that includes a 25-16-4 ATS mark at home.  

Each of the first four games of the series has seen the total go Over. That makes it five straight Overs for each team. Tonight’s total of 226 is the highest of the series thus far. The series has produced totals of 230, 232, 231, and 247. That’s an average of 235 points per game. In the last seven games between Denver and Golden State, the Over has hit six times. The Over is also 6-1 in Denver’s last seven games on the road. The Nuggets have been one of the top Over teams in the league this year. Their season O/U record is 50-35-1.