NBA Game 6 Preview: Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors

Apr 28, 2023

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Game: Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors

Time: 8:00 p.m.

Odds: Kings +7.5, Warriors -7.5

Total: 234.5

The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings will play Game 6 tonight in San Francisco. Golden State has a 3-2 series lead after rallying from a 2-0 deficit. They’ve cleared their biggest obstacle yet by winning on the road after starting the series 0-2 and going 11-30 away from home in the regular season. With a victory, they will have the home-court advantage when they take on either the Los Angeles Lakers or Memphis Grizzlies.

In Game 5, Stephen Curry scored 31 points to help the Warriors take the series lead. Klay Thompson followed with 25 points on 5-for-11 shooting from beyond the arc. Off the bench, Draymond Green also had a significant impact, scoring 21 points and dishing out seven assists. His 21 points were the most he had scored in a game in over five years.

The Kings again lost Game 5 because of poor three-point shooting in the end. Sacramento is only shooting 30.1 percent from beyond the arc in the series. They lost two of the three games this series on nights when their three-point shooting percentage was below 30 percent.

In Game 5, the Kings made 10 of their 34 three-point attempts, but eight of those came in the first quarter. Sacramento will be put to the test tonight because a victory will force a Game 7 back in the Kings home arena.

De’Aaron Fox proved that he can still be effective despite a broken finger. Fox had 24 points, nine assists, and seven rebounds in Game 5 after it was learned that he had a fracture in his left index finger. Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk both scored 21 points. This season, the Kings have performed equally well whether they are playing at home or away, going 25-16 SU and 27-14 ATS in road games this season. The Warriors now have the advantage in momentum, but Sacramento won’t go down without a fight.

The Kings are 0-8 SU in their last eight trips to Golden State. The one good thing for bettors is that Sacramento has covered in six of the last nine games against the Warriors. Golden State is 6-2 SU in its last eight games and 5-0 SU in its last five at home.

In this series, the game total has gone Over three times, including the last two contests. The only two games in which the total didn’t go Over were the two games that the Kings shot poorly from three-point range. In Games 2 and 3, Sacramento hit a combined 20-of-85 shots from behind the arc. The Kings shot 23.7 percent in Game 2 and 23.4 percent in Game 3.

The Warriors have controlled the series’ tempo. Golden State led the NBA in pace during the regular season and they haven’t slowed down in the postseason. The Kings led the NBA in scoring and average 120.4 points per game. The Warriors have seen the Over hit in four of their last six games. Ironically, the Under has cashed in six of the last nine for the Kings and four of their last five road games.

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