MLB Game Previews & Betting Market Report

Aug 17, 2022

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The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Wednesday’s MLB games.  Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.

Los Angeles Dodgers (-167) at Milwaukee Brewers

Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 394-184 (+6.1% ROI) straight-up and 315-263 (+4.1% ROI) against the run line. This season, non-divisional road favorites are 101-53 (+11.5% ROI) straight-up and 83-71 (+12.3% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less. Since September 12, 2019, the Dodgers are 54-22 (+10.8% ROI) straight-up and 45-31 (+13.0% ROI) against the run line as road favorites following a game in which their bullpen allowed more than one run.  Since September 1, 2019, the Dodgers are 21-11 (+5.8% ROI) straight-up and 19-13 (+15.4% ROI) against the run line on the road following a loss in which they blew a lead.

This season, non-divisional underdogs priced between +120 and +230 in games played on Wednesdays are 0-18 straight-up and 2-16 against the run line with a starter who lost as an underdog in his last head-to-head matchup. Finally, Los Angeles applies to a very good 727-366 (+3.2% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take the Dodgers and invest with confidence.

New York Mets (-145) at Atlanta Braves

Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 394-184 (+6.1% ROI) straight-up and 315-263 (+4.1% ROI) against the run line. Since April 12, 2022, the Mets are 15-0 straight-up and 12-3 (+57.0% ROI) against the run line in divisional affairs following a loss in which they drew multiple walks. Since April 12, 2022, the Mets are 29-3 (+58.8% ROI) straight-up and 24-8 (+52.0% ROI) against the run line following a loss in which they had two or more walks.

This season, the Mets are 24-2 (+48.7% ROI) straight-up and 18-8 (+37.2% ROI) against the run line as favorites following a loss. Finally, New York applies to a very good 727-366 (+3.2% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take the Mets and invest with confidence.

Totals Alert: In games played on a Wednesday this season, the New York Mets are 12-0 OVER following a game that went under the posted total.

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins (-188)

Analysis: Since July 21, 2010, the Twins are 34-4 (+25.4% ROI) straight-up and 29-9 (+36.1% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -180 or greater following a home game versus starting pitchers with a certain K/BB ratio. Since August 1, 2013, the Royals are 4-32 (-67.1% ROI) straight-up and 11-25 (-39.3% ROI) against the run line as large underdogs in the final game of a series following a game in which their bullpen allowed two or more runs. Finally, Minnesota falls into a profitable 547-169 (+7.2% ROI) straight-up and 416-300 (+4.4% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Twins and invest with confidence.

MLB Betting Trends for Wednesday, August 17

  • Since 2019, divisional home favorites of -165 or greater are 227-80 (+9.5% ROI) straight-up and 172-135 (+9.2% ROI) against the run line following a loss.
  • Since August 29, 2017, the Detroit Tigers are 4-23 (-61.4% ROI) straight-up and 9-18 (-36.5% ROI) against the run line as road underdogs following a one-run win as underdogs.
  • Since July 2, 2021, the Toronto Blue Jays are 15-3 (+41.0% ROI) straight-up and 11-7 (+21.0% ROI) against the run line following a loss in game 3 of a series.
  • Since August 13, 2019, the Arizona Diamondbacks are 17-46 (-37.5% ROI) straight-up and -13.4% ROI against the run line following a road loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs scored.

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