The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Thursday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays (-174)
Analysis: Since 2011, the Angels are 7-69 (-76.2% ROI) straight-up and 20-56 (-51.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +135 or greater in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a game as underdogs versus starting pitchers with a certain strikeout-to-walk ratio. Since 2019, home favorites in game 4 of a series versus .499 or worse opposition are 44-13 (+16.1% ROI) straight-up and 35-22 (+22.1% ROI) against the run line off three consecutive wins. Tampa Bay falls into a profitable 440-225 system of mine that dates to 2016 and invests on certain favorites of -140 or greater in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a game that was scoreless in the sixth inning.
Finally, Tampa Bay applies to a very good 744-375 (+3.2% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take the Rays and invest with confidence.
New York Yankees (-200) at Oakland Athletics
Analysis: Since June 24, 2021, New York starter Jameson Taillon is 17-2 (+48.3% ROI) straight-up and 15-4 (+44.2% ROI) against the run line following a home start in which he pitched at least four innings. Since April 20, 2019, the Yankees are 79-21 (+10.3% ROI) straight-up and 64-36 (+10.0%) against the run line as favorites of -185 or greater versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.00 or worse on the season. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 388-148 (+4.3% ROI) straight-up and 323-212 (+3.3% ROI).
Since April 19, 2022, the Yankees are 27-11 (+11.0% ROI) straight-up and 20-18 (+5.5% ROI) against the run line in the opening game of a series. Since July 1, 2021, the Yankees are 15-4 (+30.7% ROI) straight-up and 14-5 (+41.0 ROI) against the run line with one day of rest following a game in which they scored two or more runs. Since 2018, unrested underdogs of +110 or greater coming off an extra-inning affair are 36-91 (-27.6% ROI) straight-up and 59-68 (-17.2% ROI) against the run line in game 1 of a series
Since August 29, 2018, the Athletics are 16-41 (-17.2%) straight-up and -6.2% ROI against the run line as underdogs of more than +160. Since October 3, 2018, the Athletics are 2-17 (-74.1% ROI) straight-up and 5-14 (-49.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +130 or more in game 1 of a series following a game in which their bullpen allowed two or more runs. Since April 22, 2022, the Athletics are 6-24 (-53.3% ROI) straight-up and 7-23 (-56.0% ROI) against the run line at home following a game in which their bullpen gave up two or more runs. There’s one additional parameter in this situation that pertains to the number of hits the opponent had in the previous game.
Finally, New York applies to a very good 744-375 (+3.2% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take the Yankees and invest with confidence.
St. Louis Cardinals (-111) at Chicago Cubs
Analysis: Since September 22, 2020, the Cardinals are 11-0 straight-up as road favorites following a loss in which their starting pitcher gave up three or more runs. Since May 1, 2022, the Cardinals are 9-0 straight-up as divisional favorites of less than -160 in game 2 (or beyond) of a series. Since August 10, 2021, the Cardinals are 21-5 (+38.1% ROI) straight-up and 19-7 (+48.5% ROI) against the run line as road favorites off a game in which their starter yielded two or more runs. Take St. Louis and invest with confidence.
Colorado Rockies at New York Mets (-1.5) (-175)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 525-149 (+9.5% ROI) straight-up and 401-273 (+9.4%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. This season, the Mets are 25-2 (+49.2% ROI) straight-up and 19-8 (+57.2% ROI) against the run line as favorites following a loss. Since April 12, 2022, the Mets are 31-3 (+59.9% ROI) straight-up and 26-8 (+53.6% ROI) against the run line following a loss in which they had two or more walks.
Finally, New York falls into a profitable 566-175 (+7.0% ROI) straight-up and 429-312 (+4.0% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Mets and invest with confidence.
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