The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Tuesday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
San Francisco Giants (-210) at Detroit Tigers
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 408-192 (+5.9% ROI) straight-up and 323-277 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 385-148 (+4.1% ROI) straight-up and 320-212 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line. This season, non-divisional road favorites are 107-57 (+10.4% ROI) straight-up and 86-78 (+9.7% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less. Since 2021, underdogs priced between +110 and +205 in the first game of a series coming off a win in the previous head-to-head meeting are 5-31 straight-up if the total is under 8.5 runs.
Since June 13, 2017, rested road favorites in the first game of a series are 162-75 (+14.3% ROI) straight-up and 132-105 (+15.0% ROI) against the run line following a game as favorites in which they led by two or more runs. Finally, San Francisco applies to a very good 741-374 (+3.1% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take the Giants and invest with confidence.
Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros (-1.5) (-145)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 522-148 (+9.6% ROI) straight-up and 398-272 (+9.3%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Since July 5, 2018, the Astros are 13-0 straight-up and 7-5 against the run line as large favorites in game 1 of a non-divisional series following a win. Since September 17, 2019, Houston starter Justin Verlander is 7-1 (+13.7% ROI) straight-up and 7-1 (+38.0% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -250 or greater.
Verlander is 11-0 straight-up and 8-3 (+23.5% ROI) against the run line since September 28, 2021, as a favorite between -210 and -460 following a start in which he allowed multiple earned runs. Houston applies to a very good 420-138 (+8.5% ROI) straight-up and 321-234 (+8.5% ROI) run line system of mine that dates to 2017 and invests on certain home favorites of -200 or greater. Finally, Houston falls into a profitable 559-174 (+6.8% ROI) straight-up and 424-309 (+4.0% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Phillies and invest with confidence.
Texas Rangers at Colorado Rockies (-115)
Analysis: Since September 10, 2020, Texas starter Dane Dunning is 2-20 (-81.6% ROI) straight-up and 10-12 (-16.4% ROI) against the run line on the road following an outing in which he had five or fewer strikeouts. Since 2019, the Rangers are 61-104 (-20.5% ROI) straight-up and 77-88 (-10.3% ROI) against the run line following back-to-back games in which they did not commit an error. Since September 18, 2019, the Rangers are 9-22 (-35.4% ROI) straight-up and 14-17 (-17.7% ROI) against the run line on the road with a starting pitcher who won his previous two outings.
Finally, since August 16, 2017, the Rockies are 91-57 (+19.1% ROI) straight-up and 81-66 (+11.1% ROI) against the run line at home with a total between 10 and 11 runs. Take Colorado and invest with confidence.
Atlanta Braves (-1.5) (-145) at Pittsburgh Pirates
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 408-192 (+5.9% ROI) straight-up and 323-277 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line. Since August 1, 2019, Atlanta starter Max Fried is 18-1 (+59.3% ROI) straight-up and 13-5 (+42.0% ROI) against the run line in August affairs. Since September 24, 2019, the Braves are 40-21 (+2.5% ROI) straight-up as favorites of -140 or greater following a game as favorites in which they had more strikeouts than hits. This situation is 18-6 SU in its last 24 circumstances and 15-5 in its last 20. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 385-148 (+4.1% ROI) straight-up and 320-212 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line. Take Atlanta and invest with confidence.
Milwaukee Brewers a Los Angeles Dodgers (-140)
Analysis: Since May 11, 2021, the Dodgers are 19-1 (+39.4% ROI) straight-up and 17-3 (+64.0% ROI) against the run line following a game in which they scored fewer than two runs and their starting pitcher had four or more strikeouts. Since June 22, 2018, the Dodgers are 18-1 (+46.4% ROI) straight-up and 16-3 (+70.0% ROI) against the run line following a shutout loss in which their starting pitcher allowed three runs or less. Since August 1, 2018, the Dodgers are 16-0 straight-up and 14-2 (+75.0% ROI) against the run line following a shutout loss as favorites of -125 or greater with a total of less than eleven runs.
Finally, Los Angeles applies to a very good 439-224 system of mine that dates to 2016 and invests on certain favorites of -140 or greater in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a game that was scoreless in the sixth inning. Take the Dodgers and invest with confidence.
Milwaukee Alert: Since October 20, 2020, underdogs priced between +110 and +145 on Tuesdays are 17-3 straight-up with a starting pitcher entering off a win as a favorite and his team is coming off a win as an underdog.
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