The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Monday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
St. Louis Cardinals (-159) at Chicago Cubs
Analysis: Since August 10, 2021, the Cardinals are 19-5 (+35.6% ROI) straight-up and 18-6 (+51.5% ROI) against the run line as road favorites following a game in which their starting pitcher gave up two or more runs. Since July 27, 2021, the Cardinals are 18-2 (+52.5% ROI) straight-up and 17-3 (+77.1% ROI) against the run line as road favorites following a game in which their starting pitcher gave up two or more runs and did not earn a quality start.
Since July 16, 2019, the Cardinals are 30-13 (+34.8% ROI) straight-up and 28-15 (+26.5% ROI) against the run line following four consecutive wins. Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 405-190 (+6.0% ROI) straight-up and 322-273 (+3.5% ROI) against the run line. St. Louis falls into a profitable 419-137 (+8.6% ROI) straight-up and 321-232 (+9.0% ROI) run line system of mine that dates to 2017 and invests on certain home favorites of -200 or greater.
Finally, St. Louis applies to a very good 739-374 (+3.0% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take the Cardinals and invest with confidence.
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) (-115)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 520-147 (+9.6% ROI) straight-up and 397-270 (+9.5%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Since May 25, 2011, the Reds are 2-18 (-78.6% ROI) straight-up and 7-13 (-33.6% ROI) against the run line following a come-from-behind upset win as road underdogs in which they scored first.
This season, non-divisional favorites with a starting pitcher who won as a favorite in his last outing and his last start in the head-to-head matchup with a total of 8 or more are 15-1 straight-up and 13-3 against the run line following an upset loss as a favorite. Finally, Philadelphia falls into a profitable 557-173 (+6.9% ROI) straight-up and 423-307 (+4.1% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Phillies and invest with confidence.
Atlanta Braves (-185) at Pittsburgh Pirates
Analysis: Since May 10, 2018, the Braves are 32-9 (+28.3% ROI) straight-up and 26-14 (+37.6% ROI) against the run line as unrested favorites in the first game of a series following a game in which they scored runs in multiple innings. Atlanta starter Jake Odorizzi is 11-2 (+21.5% ROI) straight-up and 9-4 (+29.1% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -181 or greater in games with a total of nine or fewer runs.
Since September 24, 2019, the Braves are 39-21 (+1.7% ROI) straight-up as favorites of -140 or greater following a game as favorites in which they had more strikeouts than hits. This situation is 17-6 SU in its last 23 circumstances and 14-5 in its last nineteen. Since 2016, large road favorites are 384-148 (+4.0% ROI) straight-up and 320-211 (+3.1% ROI) against the run line. Since July of 2021, the Braves are 24-1 straight-up and 20-5 against the run line following a loss in which they scored fewer than six runs if the line is shorter than in the starter’s previous outing.
Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 405-190 (+6.0% ROI) straight-up and 322-273 (+3.5% ROI) against the run line. Finally, Atlanta applies to a very good 739-374 (+3.0% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take the Braves and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Monday, August 22
- Since July 21, 2021, favorites with a starting pitcher who was an underdog his last start and in his last head-to-head start are 20-2 straight-up if the total is not equal to the previous game.
- Since August 5, 2016, the Los Angeles Angels are 5-15 (-34.8% ROI) straight-up and -17.3% ROI against the run line as road underdogs following a game as favorites in which they did not hit a home run.
- Since July 26, 2018, Minnesota starter Sonny Gray is 14-3 (+30.0% ROI) straight-up and 9-8 (+7.2% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -145 or greater following a game in which his team scored four runs or fewer.
- Since July 9, 2018, the Los Angeles Dodgers are 15-0 straight-up and 13-2 (+51.4% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -210 or greater in the opening game of a series if one additional parameter is met. This situation is 4-0 RL since September 9, 2020, and 10-1 RL since July 3, 2019.
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