The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Sunday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins (-190)
Analysis: Since September 28, 2018, the Rangers are 17-63 (-41.2% ROI) straight-up and 30-50 (-30.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +120 or more versus teams with a better winning percentage if they are coming off a road affair. Since August 11, 2018, the Rangers are 9-51 (-53.1% ROI) straight-up and 23-37 (-22.0% ROI) as large underdogs following a road game versus teams with a better winning percentage. Since August 11, 2018, the Rangers are 7-41 (-54.3% ROI) straight-up and 17-31 (-27.0% ROI) against the run line as road underdogs of +170 or less in game 2 (or beyond) of a series versus opponents with a better record.
Since July 21, 2010, the Twins are 31-4 (+29.8% ROI) straight-up and 23-12 (+22.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -180 or greater following a home game versus starting pitchers with a certain K/BB ratio. Finally, Minnesota falls into a profitable 556-173 (+6.9% ROI) straight-up and 423-306 (+4.2% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Twins and invest with confidence.
St. Louis Cardinals (-126) at Arizona Diamondbacks
Analysis: Since August 10, 2021, the Cardinals are 18-5 (+33.9% ROI) straight-up and 17-6 (+48.4% ROI) against the run line as road favorites following a game in which their starting pitcher gave up two or more runs. Since July 27, 2021, the Cardinals are 17-2 (+51.2% ROI) straight-up and 16-3 (+75.0% ROI) against the run line as road favorites following a game in which their starting pitcher gave up two or more runs and did not earn a quality start. Since July 16, 2019, the Cardinals are 29-13 (+33.6% ROI) straight-up and 27-15 (+24.3% ROI) against the run line following four consecutive wins.
Road favorites that scored 15-20 runs the previous game are 84-42 (+11.8% ROI) straight-up and 54-49 (+7.9% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of less than eleven runs. Finally, since April 28, 2021, the Diamondbacks are a money-burning 60-137 (-24.8% ROI) straight-up and -8.6% ROI against the run line as underdogs. Take St. Louis and invest with confidence.
St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 runs (-105)
Analysis: Since July 18, 2019, home teams priced between +125 and -125 are 26-8-3 (76.5%) UNDER off two or more consecutive losses by four or more runs versus opponents entering off a game in which they scored eight-plus runs. Since 2017, the Cardinals are 12-1 (92.3%) UNDER on the road following a game in which they scored twelve or more runs and had fewer than eight extra-base hits. Take the under and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Sunday, August 21
- Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 519-147 (+9.6% ROI) straight-up and 397-269 (+9.7%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss.
- Since June 6, 2019, Washington starter Patrick Corbin is 6-26 (-53.0% ROI) straight-up and 10-19 (-30.0% ROI) against the run line as an underdog if he lost his previous start. This situation is 1-15 straight-up and 3-13 against the run line since September 24, 2021.
- Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 404-188 (+6.3% ROI) straight-up and 321-271 (+3.7% ROI) against the run line.
- This season, non-divisional road favorites are 105-55 (+11.4% ROI) straight-up and 84-76 (+9.6% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less.
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