The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Friday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
St. Louis Cardinals (-175) at Arizona Diamondbacks
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 401-186 (+6.4% ROI) straight-up and 319-268 (+4.0% ROI) against the run line. Since September 18, 2020, the Cardinals are 20-2 (+45.4% ROI) straight-up and 15-7 (+44.1% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -125 or greater with a starting pitcher who won (and had a quality start) in his previous outing and finished with fewer than nine strikeouts.
Since April 28, 2021, the Diamondbacks are a money-burning 60-135 (-24.1% ROI) straight-up as underdogs. St. Louis applies to a very good 734-368 (+3.4% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take St. Louis and invest with confidence.
Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres (-1.5) (-155)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 517-146 (+9.8% ROI) straight-up and 397-266 (+10.3%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Since April 6, 2021, the Padres are 16-1 (+47.8% ROI) straight-up and +1.0% ROI against the run line at home following an upset loss in which they stranded eight or more runners on base.
Since 2004, divisional home teams off a loss as large favorites are 111-38 (+9.6% ROI) straight-up as favorites of -155 or greater in game 3 of a series. Finally, San Diego falls into a profitable 552-171 (+7.0% ROI) straight-up and 421-302 (+4.6% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Padres and invest with confidence.
Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays (-192)
Analysis: Since September 1, 2012, the Royals are 22-98 (-46.0% ROI) straight-up and 46-75 (-24.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs priced between +170 and +359 following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 4-26 (-51.1% ROI) straight-up and 8-22 (-55.8% ROI) against the run line since 2021. Since April 22, 2021, the Rays are 21-6 (+25.3% ROI) straight-up and 19-8 (+40.0% ROI) against the run line following a game as favorites in which they had twelve or more hits.
Tampa Bay applies to a very good 734-368 (+3.4% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Finally, Tampa Bay falls into a profitable 552-171 (+7.0% ROI) straight-up and 421-302 (+4.6% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Rays and invest with confidence.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees (-106)
Analysis: Since September 19, 2018, the Yankees are 48-16 (+20.8% ROI) straight-up and 33-31 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a game as favorites with a starting pitcher who gave up less than three runs in his previous outing. Since July 4, 2015, the Yankees are 41-10 (+20.9% ROI) straight-up and 29-21 (+16.7% ROI) against the run line as favorites following a game as home favorites in which they gave up twelve or more hits.
Since May 7, 2016, the Yankees are 17-2 (+35.0% ROI) straight-up and 11-8 (+9.6% ROI) against the run line at home in game 2 of a series following a game in which they allowed twelve or more hits. Since October 1, 2016, the Yankees are 25-5 (+28.3% ROI) straight-up at home in game 2 of a series following a game as home favorites in which they allowed six or more runs. Take New York and invest with confidence.
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