The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Friday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Oakland Athletics at Houston Astros (-1.5) (-155)
Analysis: Since September 21, 2018, the Astros are 42-8 (+16.7% ROI) straight-up and 34-16 (+19.0% ROI) against the run line in divisional home affairs versus opponents that have twelve or more losses than they do on the season. Since September 17, 2019, Houston starter Justin Verlander is 8-1 straight-up and against the run line as a favorite of -250 or greater. Since August 29, 2018, the Athletics are 18-48 (-19.8% ROI) straight-up and -6.0% ROI against the run line as underdogs of more than +160. Since 2014, September (and beyond) underdogs are 157-259 straight-up and -3.2% ROI against the run line in regular season affairs versus opponents that have at least 33 more wins than losses.
Finally, Houston applies to a profitable 600-194 (+5.5% ROI) straight-up and 454-340 (+2.7% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Astros and invest with confidence.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (-179)
Analysis: Since June 17, 2018, the Braves are 46-15 (+25.4% ROI) straight-up and 35-25 (+28.1% ROI) against the run line as favorites versus a starting pitcher who defeated them in their previous same-season matchup. Since September 19, 2019, the Braves are 45-15 (+14.1% ROI) straight-up as home favorites of -140 or greater following a game in which they scored in two or fewer separate innings. This situation is 21-4 straight-up in its last 25 circumstances. Since June 30, 2021, Fried is 15-3 (+31.0% ROI) straight-up and 13-5 (+32.0% ROI) against the run line following a loss in his previous outing if the Braves gave up four or more runs in their last game. Since April 26, 2022, Fried is 14-2 (+23.4% ROI) straight-up and 11-5 (+29.1% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of more than -150.
Since 2014, September (and beyond) underdogs are 157-259 straight-up and -3.2% ROI against the run line in regular season affairs versus opponents that have at least 33 more wins than losses. Take Atlanta and invest with confidence.
Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox (-198)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 548-161 (+8.4% ROI) straight-up and 418-291 (+8.2%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Since September 1, 2012, the Royals are 23-102 (-46.4% ROI) straight-up and 48-78 (-24.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs priced between +170 and +359 following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 5-30 (-50.7% ROI) straight-up and 10-25 (-52.9% ROI) against the run line since 2021. Boston falls into a very strong 437-145 (+8.2% ROI) straight-up and 333-246 (+8.0% ROI) run line system that dates to 2017 and invests on certain home favorites of -200 or greater.
Finally, Boston applies to a profitable 600-194 (+5.5% ROI) straight-up and 454-340 (+2.7% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Red Sox and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Friday, September 16
- Since June 26, 2021, the St. Louis Cardinals are 33-9 (+36.1% ROI) straight-up and 28-14 (+32.3% ROI) against the run line following a loss as a favorite.
- Since 2010, the Cincinnati Reds are 1-23 (-88.3% ROI) straight-up and 9-15 (-31.0% ROI) against the run line as road underdogs of +135 or greater following a win as underdogs in which they scored three runs or less.
- Since July 3, 2019, the Chicago White Sox are 57-33 (+1.5% ROI) straight-up as favorites following a win as favorites in which they never trailed.
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