MLB Game Previews & Betting Market Report

Aug 30, 2022

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The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Tuesday’s MLB games.  Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.

St. Louis Cardinals (-200) at Cincinnati Reds

Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 423-201 (+5.5% ROI) straight-up and 333-291 (+2.1% ROI) against the run line.  Since 2013, divisional road favorites of -160 or greater are 421-178 (+7.1% ROI) straight-up and 332-266 (+2.4% ROI) against the run line following a win.  Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 394-152 (+4.0% ROI) straight-up and 327-218 (+3.0% ROI).

Since September 18, 2020, the Cardinals are 21-4 (+32.8% ROI) straight-up and 16-9 (+33.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -125 or greater with a starting pitcher who won (and had a quality start) in his previous outing and finished with fewer than nine strikeouts.  Since July 27, 2021, the Cardinals are 19-2 (+52.8% ROI) straight-up and 17-4 (+69.0% ROI) against the run line as road favorites following a game in which their starting pitcher gave up two or more runs and did not earn a quality start.  Take St. Louis and invest with confidence.

Tampa Bay Rays (-220) at Miami Marlins

Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 423-201 (+5.5% ROI) straight-up and 333-291 (+2.1% ROI) against the run line. Since June 13, 2017, unrested road favorites in the final game of a series are 166-75 (+15.0% ROI) straight-up and 136-105 (+16.0% ROI) against the run line following a game as favorites in which they maintained a multiple-run lead. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 394-152 (+4.0% ROI) straight-up and 327-218 (+3.0% ROI). Since 2018, unrested underdogs of +110 or greater off an extra-innings affair are 37-92 (-26.7% ROI) straight-up and 60-69 (-17.0 ROI) against the run line in game 1 of a series.

Since May 28, 2021, the Marlins are 0-16 straight-up and 4-12 (-54.5% ROI) against the run line as underdogs following a game in which they scored two runs or fewer against the opposing starting pitcher. Since April 22, 2021, the Rays are 22-7 (+20.6% ROI) straight-up and 19-10 (+31.0% ROI) against the run line following a game as favorites in which they had twelve or more hits. Take the Rays and invest with confidence.

Seattle Mariners (-165) at Detroit Tigers

Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 423-201 (+5.5% ROI) straight-up and 333-291 (+2.1% ROI) against the run line. Since July 24, 2019, the Mariners are 26-8 (+41.9% ROI) straight-up and 19-15 (+11.1% ROI) against the run line following a game as home favorites in which they issued one or fewer walks. Since 2016, the Tigers are 1-25 (-89.2% ROI) straight-up and 5-21 (-62.0% ROI) against the run line as large underdogs of more than +150 following a game in which they had thirteen or more hits and gave up less than thirteen games.

Since June 13, 2017, unrested road favorites in the final game of a series are 166-75 (+15.0% ROI) straight-up and 136-105 (+16.0% ROI) against the run line following a game as favorites in which they maintained a multiple-run lead. This season, non-divisional road favorites are 117-69 (+6.1% ROI) straight-up and 94-92 (+5.4% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less. Take Seattle and invest with confidence.

Houston Astros (-172) at Texas Rangers

Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 423-201 (+5.5% ROI) straight-up and 333-291 (+2.1% ROI) against the run line. Since June 13, 2017, unrested road favorites in the final game of a series are 166-75 (+15.0% ROI) straight-up and 136-105 (+16.0% ROI) against the run line following a game as favorites in which they maintained a multiple-run lead. Since 2019, the Rangers are 61-105 (-20.9% ROI) straight-up and 78-88 (-9.8% ROI) against the run line following back-to-back games in which they did not commit an error.

Since August 28, 2021, Houston starter Framber Valdez is 14-2 (+25.8% ROI) straight-up and 12-4 (+39.3% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -160 or greater versus American League opposition. Since 2013, divisional road favorites of -160 or greater are 421-178 (+7.1% ROI) straight-up and 332-266 (+2.4% ROI) against the run line following a win. Take the Astros and invest with confidence.

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