The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Monday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Philadelphia Phillies (-173) at Arizona Diamondbacks
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 421-199 (+5.6% ROI) straight-up and 332-288 (+2.4% ROI) against the run line. Since September 1, 2019, Arizona starter Madison Bumgarner is 0-16 straight-up and 5-11 (-41.1% ROI) against the run line in games 1, 2 or 3 of a series following an outing in which he allowed five or more runs. Since September 1, 2019, Bumgarner is 2-16 (-76.0% ROI) straight-up and 3-15 (-66.0% ROI) against the run line following an outing in which he gave up four or more runs against National League opposition. Since April 28, 2021, the Diamondbacks are a money-burning 62-138 (-23.5% ROI) straight-up and -8.5% ROI against the run line as underdogs. Take Philadelphia and invest with confidence.
Chicago Cubs at Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) (-115)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 528-151 (+9.2% ROI) straight-up and 404-275 (+9.4%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. The Blue Jays are backed by a 426-140 (+8.5% ROI) and 326-237 (+8.7% ROI) run line system that dates to 2017 and invests on certain large home favorites of -200 or greater. Finally, Toronto applies to a profitable 574-179 (+6.7% ROI) straight-up and 436-317 (+4.0% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Blue Jays and invest with confidence.
Totals Alert: Since September 29, 2019, the Cubs are 16-7 (69.6%) OVER on the road following a game in which they scored in four or more separate innings.
New York Yankees (-175) at Los Angeles Angels
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 421-199 (+5.6% ROI) straight-up and 332-288 (+2.4% ROI) against the run line. Since September 17, 2021, road favorites with a starting pitcher who lost his previous head-to-head matchup are 79-46 (+7.0 ROI) straight-up and 69-56 (+14.4% ROI) against the run line if his team won the last meeting between the teams. This situation contains a 19-2 SU and 18-3 RL subset angle that applies to games played in 2022.
Since April 20, 2019, the Yankees are 78-22 (+8.8% ROI) straight-up and 64-36 (+9.1%) against the run line as favorites of -185 or greater versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.00 or worse on the season. Since April 19, 2022, the Yankees are 28-11 (+12.1% ROI) straight-up and 21-18 (+7.5% ROI) against the run line in the opening game of a series. Since September 20, 2021, the Yankees are 11-2 (+26.6% ROI) straight-up and 7-6 against the run line following a loss as favorites of -185 or greater. Since September 13, 2021, the Yankees are 21-6 (+21.9% ROI) straight-up and 16-11 (+13.0% ROI) against the run line in game 1 of a non-divisional series.
This season, non-divisional road favorites are 116-68 (+6.4% ROI) straight-up and 94-90 (+6.5% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less. Finally, the Angels fall into a negative 17-36 (-21.7% ROI) system that invests against certain home underdogs of greater than +105. This situation is 24-29 against the run line for a -16.1% return on investment. Take New York and invest with confidence.
Totals Alert: Since September 10, 2018, the Yankees are 29-19 (60.4%) OVER on the road following back-to-back losses.
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