The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Sunday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) (-140)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 528-149 (+9.6% ROI) straight-up and 404-273 (+9.7%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Since May 27, 2019, the Pirates are 11-32 (-26.5% ROI) straight-up and 18-24 (-23.0% ROI) against the run line on the road in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a game in which they issued five or more walks. Finally, Philadelphia applies to a profitable 573-176 (+7.1% ROI) straight-up and 435-314 (+4.3% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Phillies and invest with confidence.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) (-150) at Miami Marlins
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 420-197 (+5.9% ROI) straight-up and 331-286 (+2.6% ROI) against the run line. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 392-150 (+4.2% ROI) straight-up and 325-216 (+3.0% ROI). This season, non-divisional road favorites are 115-67 (+6.7% ROI) straight-up and 93-89 (+6.7% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less. Take the Dodgers and invest with confidence.
Since 2021, the Dodgers are 19-0 straight-up and 17-2 against the run line following a loss as favorites of more than -120 in which they scored less than two runs, had six or more strikeouts, and finished with six or fewer hits. Since September 10, 2021, the Marlins are 1-17 straight-up and 5-13 against the run line as underdogs of more than +120 following a win in which they allowed three runs or less. Since May 11, 2021, the Dodgers are 20-1 straight-up and 18-3 against the run line following a game in which they scored no more than one run, and their starter has four or more strikeouts. Take Los Angeles and invest with confidence.
Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros (-1.5) (-120)
Analysis: Since September 17, 2019, Houston starter Justin Verlander is 8-1 straight-up and against the run line as a favorite of -250 or greater. Since September 1, 2020, the Orioles are a money-burning 94-154 (-5.9% ROI) straight-up and -2.0% ROI against the run line as underdogs. Houston falls into a very good 441-227 system of mine that dates to 2016, and invests on certain favorites of -140 or greater in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a game that was scoreless in the sixth inning.
The Astros are backed by a 425-139 (+8.6% ROI) and 325-236 (+8.7% ROI) run line system that dates to 2017 and invests on certain large home favorites of -200 or greater. Finally, Houston applies to a profitable 573-176 (+7.1% ROI) straight-up and 435-314 (+4.3% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Astros and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Sunday, August 28
- Since May 27, 2019, the Pittsburgh Pirates are 11-32 (-26.5% ROI) straight-up and 18-24 (-23.0% ROI) against the run line on the road in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a game in which they issued five or more walks.
- Since August 3, 2018, Colorado starter German Marquez is 2-13 (-64.9% ROI) straight-up and 5-10 (-39.3% ROI) against the run line on the road following an outing in which he won as a home favorite.
- Since 2018, road underdogs priced between +115 and +240 are 23-67 (-37.7% ROI) straight-up and 39-51 (-25.0% ROI) against the run line following a shutout win by four or more runs in games with a total of 7 to 10 runs.
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