The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Saturday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-192) at Miami Marlins
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 419-195 (+6.3% ROI) straight-up and 331-283 (+3.2% ROI) against the run line. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 391-148 (+4.5% ROI) straight-up and 325-213 (+3.4% ROI). Since April 2, 2018, the Marlins are 1-17 (-85.0% ROI) straight-up and 5-13 (-47.0% ROI) against the run line as large home underdogs following a game as underdogs in which they scored six or more runs.
Los Angeles applies to a very good 749-377 (+3.2% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. This season, non-divisional road favorites are 114-64 (+8.7% ROI) straight-up and 92-86 (+8.0% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less. Take the Dodgers and invest with confidence.
Miami Alert: Since September 1, 2020, Miami starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara is 8-0 straight-up and 7-1 (+65.4% ROI) against the run line following an outing in which he lasted five innings or fewer provided the game is not a double-header.
New York Yankees (-1.5) (-125) at Oakland Athletics
Analysis: Since August 29, 2018, the Athletics are 16-43 (-20.0% ROI) straight-up and -7.7% ROI against the run line as underdogs of more than +160. Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 419-195 (+6.3% ROI) straight-up and 331-283 (+3.2% ROI) against the run line. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 391-148 (+4.5% ROI) straight-up and 325-213 (+3.4% ROI). Since April 20, 2019, the Yankees are 80-21 (+10.6% ROI) straight-up and 65-36 (+10.5%) against the run line as favorites of -185 or greater versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.00 or worse on the season. This season, non-divisional road favorites are 114-64 (+8.7% ROI) straight-up and 92-86 (+8.0% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less. Take New York and invest with confidence.
San Diego Padres (-215) at Kansas City Royals
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 419-195 (+6.3% ROI) straight-up and 331-283 (+3.2% ROI) against the run line. Since September 1, 2012, the Royals are 23-99 (-44.7% ROI) straight-up and 47-76 (-24.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs priced between +170 and +359 following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 5-27 (-49.6% ROI) straight-up and 9-23 (-54.3% ROI) against the run line since 2021. Since June 17, 2019, the Padres are 11-0 straight-up and 10-1 (+80.0% ROI) against the run line following a game in which they scored thirteen or more runs. Take San Diego and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Saturday, August 27
- Since September 1, 2020, favorites of -126 or greater off a shutout loss are 40-6 (+39.9% ROI) straight-up and 33-13 (+55.6% ROI) against the run line with a starting pitcher who was an underdog in his previous outing.
- Since June 18, 2017, the Toronto Blue Jays are 23-11 (+37.8% ROI) straight-up and 19-15 (+14.0% ROI) against the run line at home following a game in which they gave up ten or more runs.
- Since September 15, 2021, Houston starter Jose Urquidy is 12-1 (+44.4% ROI) straight-up and 9-4 (+48.0% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -130 or greater.
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