The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Friday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
San Diego Padres (-178) at Kansas City Royals
Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 415-195 (+6.0% ROI) straight-up and 328-282 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line. Since 2016, road favorites of -200 or greater are 389-148 (+4.4% ROI) straight-up and 324-212 (+3.4% ROI). Favorites of -135 or greater with one day of rest are 209-87 (+12.5% ROI) straight-up and 126-114 (+12.3% ROI) against the run line following a game as home favorites in which they allowed more than five runs.
Since April 24, 2008, the Royals are 5-36 (-68.0 ROI) straight-up and 10-30 (-51.5% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +135 or more following a home game in which they had ten or more strikeouts. Since August 9, 2021, San Diego starter Joe Musgrove is 9-2 (+21.7% ROI) straight-up and 9-2 (+59.0% ROI) against the run line following an outing in which he allowed four hits or less and had five or more strikeouts. Take the Padres and invest with confidence.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) (-135)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 527-149 (+9.6% ROI) straight-up and 403-273 (+9.6%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Since May 27, 2019, the Pirates are 16-53 (-35.9% ROI) straight-up and 25-43 (-33.4% ROI) against the run line on the road following a game in which they issued five or more walks. Finally, Philadelphia falls into a profitable 569-175 (+7.1% ROI) straight-up and 432-312 (+4.3% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Phillies and invest with confidence.
Colorado Rockies at New York Mets (-1.5) (-145)
Analysis: Since July 3, 2018, New York starter Chris Bassitt is 21-3 (+33.4% ROI) straight-up and 17-7 (+38.0% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -141 or greater if he won his previous start. Since May 22, 2022, the Mets are 26-9 (+21.3% ROI) straight-up and 21-14 (+30.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites with a starting pitcher who lasted six or fewer innings in his previous outing. Since July 29, 2021, Colorado starter Chad Kuhl is 3-10 (-41.2% ROI) straight-up and -11.7% ROI against the run line following an outing in which he allowed two or more runs.
Finally, New York falls into a profitable 569-175 (+7.1% ROI) straight-up and 432-312 (+4.3% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Mets and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Friday, August 26
- Since 2014, New York right-hander Gerrit Cole is 47-10 (+13.6% ROI) straight-up and 33-24 (+1.0% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -200 or more following an outing in which he pitched six or more innings versus a starting pitcher with an ERA of 9.00 or better on the season. This situation is 32-18 on the run line since April 28, 2018.
- Since 2018, unrested underdogs of +110 or greater in game 1 of a series are 36-92 (-28.2% ROI) straight-up and 59-69 (-17.6% ROI) against the run line following an extra-inning affair.
- Detroit starting pitcher Tyler Alexander is 11-0 UNDER since September 16, 2021.
- Since 2021, the Braves are 13-0 UNDER following a game in which they scored more than ten runs and went over the total by more than five runs.
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