MLB Game Previews & Betting Market Report

Aug 20, 2022

mlb game previews, best mlb game previews, free mlb game previews

The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Saturday’s MLB games.  Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees (-171)

Analysis: Since 2019, divisional home favorites of -165 or greater are 230-81 (+9.6% ROI) straight-up and 175-136 (+9.7% ROI) against the run line following a loss.  Since June 29, 2018, the Yankees are 14-2 (+48.7% ROI) straight-up and 13-2 (+73.0% ROI) against the run line as American League favorites of -240 or less following a shutout loss.  Since July 1, 2018, the Yankees are 16-7 (+5.4% ROI) straight-up and 15-7 (+32.3% ROI) against the run line following a shutout loss.  Since April 20, 2019, the Yankees are 79-20 (+11.1% ROI) straight-up and 64-35 (+10.7%) against the run line as favorites of -185 or greater versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.00 or worse on the season.

Since 2018, large home favorites off back-to-back losses are 55-19 (+10.0% ROI) straight-up and 41-32 (+9.3% ROI) against the run line in game 3 of a series.  The Blue Jays are 3-22 (-70.0% ROI) straight-up and -17.7% ROI against the run line since May 4, 2019, as road underdogs in game 2 (or later) of a series versus opponents that had six or fewer hits in their previous game.  New York applies to a very good 735-369 (+3.3% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less.  Take the Yankees and invest with confidence.

Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays (-196)

Analysis: Since September 1, 2012, the Royals are 23-98 (-44.3% ROI) straight-up and 47-75 (-23.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs priced between +170 and +359 following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 5-26 (-49.3% ROI) straight-up and 9-22 (-54.0% ROI) against the run line since 2021.  Since July 21, 2007, the Royals are 1-24 (-88.8% ROI) straight-up and 9-16 (-30.0% ROI) against the run line as large underdogs in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a win in which they never trailed.

Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 518-147 (+9.6% ROI) straight-up and 397-268 (+10.0%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss.  Finally, Tampa Bay falls into a profitable 553-173 (+6.7% ROI) straight-up and 421-305 (+3.0% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out.  Take the Rays and invest with confidence.

St. Louis Cardinals (-140) at Arizona Diamondbacks

Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 403-186 (+6.6% ROI) straight-up and 320-269 (+4.0% ROI) against the run line. Since September 1, 2019, Arizona starter Madison Bumgarner is 0-15 straight-up and 5-10 (-37.3% ROI) against the run line in games 1, 2 or 3 of a series following an outing in which he allowed five or more runs.  Since September 1, 2019, Bumgarner is 2-15 (-74.8% ROI) straight-up and 3-14 (-64.0% ROI) against the run line following an outing in which he gave up four or more runs against National League opposition.  Since April 28, 2021, the Diamondbacks are a money-burning 60-136 (-24.5% ROI) straight-up and -8.4% ROI against the run line as underdogs.  Take St. Louis and invest with confidence.

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres (-1.5) (-135)

Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 518-147 (+9.6% ROI) straight-up and 397-268 (+10.0%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss.  Since 2018, large home favorites off back-to-back losses are 55-19 (+10.0% ROI) straight-up and 41-32 (+9.3% ROI) against the run line in game 3 of a series.  Finally, San Diego falls into a profitable 553-173 (+6.7% ROI) straight-up and 421-305 (+3.0% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out.  Take the Padres and invest with confidence.

Seattle Mariners (-177) at Oakland Athletics

Analysis: Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 403-186 (+6.6% ROI) straight-up and 320-269 (+4.0% ROI) against the run line.  Since 2013, large divisional road favorites of -160 or greater are 419-175 (+7.5% ROI) straight-up and 332-261 (+32.0% ROI) against the run line following a win. Since April 22, 2022, the Athletics are 4-23 (-64.3% ROI) straight-up and 5-22 (-64.2% ROI) against the run line at home following a game in which their bullpen gave up two or more runs. There’s one additional parameter in this situation that pertains to the number of hits the opponent had in the previous game.

Finally, Seattle applies to a very good 735-369 (+3.3% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less.  Take the Mariners and invest with confidence.

Join Oskeim Sports today and save 20% on your first purchase at the online store!