MLB Game Preview: New York Yankees at New York Mets

Jul 27, 2022

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Game: New York Yankees @ New York Mets

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET

Odds:  Yankees +140, Mets -165

Total: 7.5

It started fast and furious and when it was over the New York Mets won the first game of the Subway Series last night, 6-3. Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo both hit home runs in the top of the first inning, but the Mets answered with a four-run outburst in the bottom of the inning. Now, it’s onto Game 2 and the Mets are in a great position to deliver another huge win. Ace Max Scherzer takes the mound tonight against the Yankees Domingo German.

Scherzer is 6-2 this season and has a very respectable 2.22 ERA. Since returning from injury, Scherzer has made four starts and has not allowed more than two earned runs. He has struck out 39 batters with eight or more strikeouts in each start. The Mets have won two and lost two of those starts. In his last start, Scherzer pitched six innings and allowed two earned runs in a loss to San Diego.

The Mets ace will face a lineup that is dangerous. Last night’s game could have gotten out of hand with Judge and Rizzo hitting homers in the first inning. Mets pitcher Taijuan Walker, who picked up his eighth win of the season, settled down and pitched six innings allowing three earned runs. Scherzer will likely face some adversity and how he deals with it will determine the outcome of the game.

The Yankees will start German who returned from the 60-day injured list just last week. He made his first appearance since May pitching three innings against Houston. German gave up six hits and five earned runs in a 7-5 loss to the Astros. German was 4-5 last year, but in 2019 the right-hander went 18-4 for the Yankees. He will face an equally dangerous Mets lineup that proved last night it can score against anyone.

With the loss last night, the Yankees are now 2-4 SU in their last six games and 2-6 SU in their last eight games against the Mets. The Yankees still have the best record in baseball, but they have just four wins in their last 10 games.

The Mets are 6-3 SU in their last nine games. After losing three games in a row and scoring just four total runs, the Mets have won their last two games scoring 8 and 6 runs in the two victories. The Mets have done well at home, especially at right-handed starting pitchers. In the last 28 such games, the Mets are 20-8.

Last night’s total went Over making it 14 Overs in the Yankees’ last 17 games. The total has also gone Over in nine of the Yankees’ last 11 road games. In the Yankees-Mets series, the Over is now 7-1 in the last eight games. In the last five Yankees-Mets games played at Citi Field, all five have gone Over the total. The Yankees continue to lead the majors in scoring (5.34). The Mets are now tied for fifth at 4.67.