Game: New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies
Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
Odds: Mets +145, Phillies -165
So far in 2022, the Philadelphia Phillies are 2-4 against the New York Mets. They are .500 against everyone else which is why they are off to a subpar 11-14 start. They will face the Mets for the third time of this young season and they will put one of their best pitchers – Aaron Nola – on the mound.
The problem for Philadelphia is that Nola has already started against the Mets twice this season. He’s lost both times. As a result, Nola’s off to a 1-3 start this season though his pitching numbers aren’t all that bad. In his last start, which was against the Mets, he pitched six innings and struck out nine. He did give up three earned runs though and the Mets lost 3-0. For the season, Nola’s ERA is 3.90.
Nola will face a Mets lineup that is scarier on paper right now than on the field. The Mets went to great lengths to build a powerhouse lineup. They succeeded and New York is one of the best teams in baseball right now. Their hitters have had glimpses of their potential and they have done enough to get the Mets off to an 18-9 start this season.
Former NL Rookie of the Year Pete Alonso has five homers and 21 RBIs, but he’s hitting .260. Francisco Lindor has four home runs and 15 RBIs, but he’s hitting .243. Second baseman Jeff McNeil has been the Mets’ best hitter with a .337 average thus far. None of the Mets’ hitters are ripping the cover off the ball, but they are doing enough right now.
The Phillies, like the Mets, made some key offseason moves namely bringing in Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber. While Schwarber has a team-high seven homers, he’s also hitting just .193. Castellanos is the Phillies’ best at the plate with a .307 average, three homers and 12 RBIs. Philadelphia has struggled lately though losing four of its last five games. Two of those losses came in their last series against the Mets.
The Mets are coming off a split of four games against the Braves. New York has yet to lose a series this season. The Mets are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games and 4-1 SU in their last five against the Phillies. New York is also 6-2 SU in its last eight games on the road. The Mets are 16-5 SU this season when facing a right-handed pitcher. Two of those wins are against Nola.
The total has gone Over in four of the Mets’ last five games. One of those was a 10-6 win over the Phillies on May 1. The Phillies are in the same boat when it comes to totals. Six of the last nine Phillies games have seen the total go Over. Against the Mets, the Phillies’ trend Under. Nine of the last 13 Mets-Phillies games have gone Under the total. Four of the last six Mets-Phillies games played in Philadelphia have gone Under.