Game: Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals
Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
Odds: Brewers -125, Cardinals +105
Adam Wainwright will start for St. Louis tonight as the Cardinals look to maintain their lead in the NL Central. Milwaukee beat the Cardinals last night to cut their gap to seven games. Wainwright and teammate catcher Yadier Molina will make history tonight. They break the major league record for consecutive starts as teammates. Their 325th joint start will come tonight, shattering the previous milestone of 324 held by Mickey Lolich and Bill Freehan of the Detroit Tigers in 1975.
Wainwright is 10-9 with a 3.33 ERA so far this season. This is his 17th major league season. Following two unsuccessful starts, Wainwright is attempting to turn things around. Over his last two starts, he has pitched 10 innings and surrendered 10 runs on 18 hits and 2 walks. Wainwright has made four starts this year against the Brewers and is 0-2 with a 4.70 ERA. In 54 career appearances against the Brewers, Wainwright is 20-14 with a very strong 2.76 ERA.
St. Louis and Wainwright will be on the lookout for Andrew McCutchen, Luis Urias, and Omar Narvaez. These three Brewers have hit Wainwright the best. McCutchen is 25-for-77 with seven doubles, three home runs and 13 RBIs against the Cardinals right-hander. Urias is 6-for-17 with three homers and Narvaez is 8-for-22 with three doubles.
Corbin Burnes, who is 10-6 with a 2.93 ERA, is coming off a commanding 2-1 victory over the San Francisco Giants on Thursday. In eight innings, he only gave up one run, three hits, 14 strikeouts, and no walks. That was more like Burnes, the 2021 NL Cy Young award winners. Burnes had a rough August. His ERA for the month was 4.81 over six starts. Prior to last Thursday’s performance, Burnes had given up 3, 4, 5, and 5 earned runs in his previous four starts. In three starts this year against the Cardinals, Burnes is 2-0 with a 0.43 ERA.
In 14 career appearances versus them, including 11 starts, he is 4-3 with a 2.73 ERA. Burnes has performed particularly well against Brendan Donovan (0-for-11), Tyler O’Neill (1-for-12), and Molina (1-for-12). Burnes has never faced Cardinals slugger Albert Pujols, who is now up to 697 career home runs. When Burnes last pitched against St. Louis, Pujols did not start.
Beating the Cardinals presents a problem for Milwaukee. St. Louis has been playing very well. The Cardinals are 11-5 SU over their last 16 games and they are 15-5 SU in their last 20 at home. The Brewers have won five of their last six, but they haven’t done well on the road. The Brewers have won just six of their last 20 road games. Despite a second-half downturn, the Brewers are attempting to make the playoffs after winning the division last year.
The Over has hit in five of the Cardinals’ last six games. The Over is the trend when the Cardinals play the Brewers at home. Four of the last six Brewers-Cardinals games played in St. Louis have gone Over the total.
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