MLB Game Preview: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals

Aug 11, 2022

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Game: Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals

Time: 7:05 p.m. ET

Odds: White Sox -170, Royals +157

Total: 8.0 (-115)

Starting Pitchers

Chicago: Dylan Cease (12-4, 1.98 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 166 strikeouts)

Kansas City: Zack Greinke (3-7, 4.58 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 52 strikeouts)

Injuries

Chicago: Tim Anderson: 10-Day IL (finger), Danny Mendick: 60-Day IL (knee), Vince Velasquez: 15-Day IL (finger), Kyle Crick: 15-Day IL (elbow), Aaron Bummer: 15-Day IL (lat), Garrett Crochet: 60-Day IL (elbow), Jonathan Stiever: 60-Day IL (lat)

Kansas City: Taylor Clarke: 15-Day IL (oblique), Edward Olivares: 60-Day IL (quadricep), Angel Zerpa: 60-Day IL (knee), Jake Brentz: 60-Day IL (flexor), Adalberto Mondesi: 60-Day IL (knee), Tyler Zuber: 60-Day IL (shoulder)

Last Ten Games

Chicago: 5-5, .252 batting average, 3.14 ERA, outscored opponents by one run

Kansas City: 6-4, .258 batting average, 3.89 ERA, outscored opponents by seven runs

Analysis

Since May 1, 2019, the White Sox are 78-30 (+14.7% ROI) straight-up and 60-47 (+17.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -125 or more following a game in which they scored in two or fewer separate innings. Since July 11, 2011, Chicago starter Dylan Cease is 12-0 straight-up and 11-1 (+68.2% ROI) against the run line on the road following an outing in which he pitched more than four innings.

Since September 16, 2021, the Royals are 3-15 (-63.8% ROI) straight-up and 5-13 (-47.0% ROI) against the run line in the final game of a series off a game in which they scored five or more runs. Since April 21, 2022, the Royals are 1-16 (-87.3% ROI) straight-up and 3-13 (-55.0% ROI) against the run line in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a win in which their starter pitched at least five innings and had fewer than seven strikeouts. Since August 26, 2018, the Royals are 4-28 (-71.0% ROI) straight-up and 8-24 (-55.0% ROI) against the run line as home underdogs in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a game in which they scored two or more runs in multiple innings.

Since June 1, 2008, Kansas City starter Zack Greinke is 1-13 (-76.1% ROI) straight-up and 4-10 (-47.0% ROI) against the run line as an underdog of +155 or greater.  However, Greinke is 17-1 (+58.9% ROI) straight-up and 16-2 (+81.0% ROI) against the run line since 2009 at home in regular season outings following a start in which he lasted five or fewer innings and posted a certain strikeouts-per-walk ratio.  Since August 18, 2020, Greinke is 15-7 (+27.0% ROI) straight-up and against the run line in afternoon starts.

Finally, since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of 10 runs or less are 381-180 (+6.0% ROI) straight-up and 305-256 (+4.0% ROI) against the run line. Take Chicago and invest with confidence.

MLB Betting Trends for Wednesday, August 11

  • Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 381-180 (+6.0% ROI) straight-up and 305-256 (+4.0% ROI) against the run line.
  • Since September 28, 2018, the Texas Rangers are 17-61 (-42.4% ROI) straight-up and 30-48 (-29.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +120 or more versus teams with a better winning percentage if they are coming off a road affair.
  • Colorado starter German Marquez is 21-9 (70.0%) OVER since April 22, 2018, as an underdog versus an opponent he defeated in his previous matchup.
  • Since October 1, 2021, the Colorado Rockies are 15-2 (88.2%) OVER following a game in which their starting pitcher allowed more than one run and had a certain strike-to-ball ratio.

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