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Free Sports Picks: Patrick Corbin Poised to Continue Domination

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On Tuesday, Oskeim Sports previews the MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Arizona Diamondbacks.  Oskeim recommends taking the Diamondbacks as one of his free sports picks for August 22.

Oskeim also suggests making a smaller wager on the San Diego Padres as one of his free sports picks for tonight.

Despite the expensive odds in this game, backing the home favorite behind one of the best starting pitchers in the game still provides solid value. Indeed, Arizona is a profitable 5-0 in Patrick Corbin’s last five starts, 5-0 in Corbin’s previous five interleague outings and 4-1 in his last five starts against American League West foes.

Corbin toes the rubber with elite numbers across the board – 3.18 ERA, 2.41 FIP, 2.63 xFIP, 10.99 K/9, 2.14 BB/9, 0.64 HR/9 and a 48.6% groundball rate.

Across 20.1 innings in August, Corbin has garnered a 2.66 ERA and 0.84 WHIP, together with a 31.6% strikeout rate and a 0.80 FIP. I should also note that the talented southpaw has not issued a walk or allowed a home run this month.

Corbin is third in the league with 190 strikeouts and has struck out 41 batters and issued three walks in his last five starts. His slider has been an effective out pitch and one that he has thrown a career-high 40 percent of the time in 2018.

Corbin now faces the team that selected him in the second round of the 2009 draft before trading him to Arizona at the trade deadline in 2010. The 29-year-old has made ten consecutive starts without allowing a home run and has yielded just 11 home runs in 155 2/3 innings of work in 2018.

Los Angeles takes the field following a day off, which isn’t necessarily a good thing for the Angels as they are just 8-19 with rest, 10-23 on the road and 6-20 on the road versus teams with a winning home record.

Corbin finds support in a solid Arizona bullpen that owns a 3.12 ERA and 1.19 WHIP this season, together with a 3.04 ERA and 1.19 WHIP at home and a 2.08 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over its last seven games.

Arizona’s Bullpen Rankings (2018):

  • 3.10 ERA (1st in MLB)
  • 50.9% GB% (1st in MLB)

The Diamondbacks’ bullpen owns the major’s seventh-best ERA and batting average allowed at home, together with allowing the ten-fewest home runs at Chase Field.

In contrast, the Angels’ relief staff enters tonight’s game with a 4.61 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over their previous seven games. Take Arizona as one of  Oskeim Sports’ free sports picks for Tuesday and invest with confidence.

Oskeim Sports’ Free Sports Picks for Tuesday, August 22:

  • Arizona Diamondbacks (-195) over Los Angeles Angels
  • San Diego Padres (+163) over Colorado Rockies