Free Sports Picks: Stroman, Teheran Clash in Atlanta

Jul 10, 2018

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On Tuesday, July 10, Oskeim Sports previews the MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Atlanta Braves.  Oskeim recommends taking the Blue Jays as live road underdogs as one of his free sports picks for tonight.

Oskeim also suggests taking the Miami Marlins at +130 or better against the Brewers as one of his free sports picks for Tuesday night.

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In his lone start against the Braves last season, Toronto right-hander Marcus Stroman threw 5 2/3 innings of shutout ball, striking out six and walking just one batter.

In contrast, Atlanta right-hander Julio Teheran’s most recent start against the Blue Jays (2017) did not go as well as he allowed nine earned runs on 8 hits and 3 home runs in just 3.0 innings of work. Teheran is 0-1 with a 10.00 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in four career starts against the Braves.

Stroman has not been nearly as bad as his 6.50 ERA indicates as he has been plagued by an incredibly unlucky .325 BABIP and an unsustainable 57.2% strand rate.

The 27-year-old is coming off a solid June wherein he posted a 0.75 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, together with a 0.75 BB/9 rate and a 71.4% groundball rate. I also like the fact that Stroman has been significantly better on the road this season where he owns a 3.83 FIP and 3.77 xFIP across 27.0 innings of work.

Teheran takes the mound with a 4.47 ERA, 5.22 FIP and 4.68 xFIP in seventeen starts, together with an alarming 4.37 BB/9 rate and a 1.65 HR/9 rate.

His surface numbers are misleading due to an unsustainable .226 BABIP. The 27-year-old has really struggled at home this season where he has garnered a 5.15 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 4.98 FIP (4.53 BB/9, 40.2% Hard%).

Finally, Toronto is a profitable 9-4 in Stroman’s last thirteen interleague starts and 5-2 in his previous seven outings against teams with a winning record.

Meanwhile, the Braves are a money-burning 2-5 in Teheran’s previous seven starts and 1-5 in his last six outings against American League East foes.

With Toronto standing at 5-1 versus .501 or greater National League opposition, take the Blue Jays as one of Oskeim Sports’ free sports picks for Tuesday.

Oskeim Sports’ Free Sports Picks for July 10:

  • Toronto Blue Jays (+122) over Atlanta Braves
  • Miami Marlins (+136) over Milwaukee Brewers