Oskeim Sports analyzes one of the Southland Conference tournament semifinal games between Sam Houston State and Southeastern Louisiana.
Oskeim likes Southeastern Louisiana plus the point(s) and makes the Lions one of his free sports picks for Friday, March 9. Please check back daily for more quality free sports picks in basketball.
Also, be sure to read the entire writeup as Oskeim provides additional free sports picks at the bottom of this page. Good luck this March Madness and enjoy the games!
Southeastern Louisiana entered the Southland Conference tournament as one of the hottest teams in the nation. The Lions have reeled off eight consecutive wins and are hungry to avenge a ten-point loss to Sam Houston State on January 24.
Southeastern Louisiana’s Offensive & Defensive Ratings:
The Lions are 2.6 points per game worse than average offensively (72.6 points per game against teams that would combine to allow 75.2 points per game to a mediocre offense) and 3.8 points per game better than average defensively (68.7 points per game to teams that would combine to average 72.5 points per game against a mediocre defense).
Sam Houston State’s Offensive & Defensive Ratings:
Sam Houston State grades out as 3.1 points per game worse than average offensively (70.8 points per game against teams that would allow 73.9 points per game to a mediocre offense) and 4.7 points per game better than average defensively (67.4 points per game to teams that would combine to average 72.1 points per game against a mediocre defense).
I am making Southeastern Louisiana one of my free sports picks on Friday for the following reasons:
- The Lions’ offensive efficiency spiked in their final five games of the regular season. Specifically, Southeastern Louisiana shot 51.9 percent from the field and 39.1 percent from beyond the arc during that span.
- The Lions’ defensive intensity also increased during the final stanza of the regular season. Southeastern Louisiana limited opponents to a mere 60.2 points on 38.6 percent shooting from the field and 27.9 percent from three-point territory over its last five contests.
Let’s also note that Sam Houston State was a money-burning 6-11 SU on the road this season, whereas the Lions finished the 2017-18 campaign with an 11-8 mark away from home.
From a technical standpoint, Southeastern Louisiana is a profitable 8-3 ATS in its last eleven games versus .501 or greater opposition, while the Bearkats are just 4-9-2 ATS in their last fifteen games versus teams with a winning record, including 2-7-2 ATS against .601 or greater win percentage.
All three of my proprietary math models favor Southeastern Louisiana in this semifinals clash with the average being by 1.27 points. Take Southeastern Louisiana to advance to the Southland Conference tournament championship game as one of Oskeim’s free sports picks for Friday, March 9.
Oskeim Sports’ Free Sports Picks for Friday:
- Southeastern Louisiana (+2) (-120) over Sam Houston State
- Nevada (-2.5) over San Diego State
- Northern Colorado (+3) over Montana
- Troy (+5) (-120) over Georgia State
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