Oskeim Sports previews Sunday’s MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies. Oskeim recommends making a small wager on the Phillies as one of his free sports picks for September 2.
Oskeim also recommends a small wager on the Los Angeles Dodgers as one of his free sports picks for Sunday. With respect to tonight’s college football game between LSU and Miami Florida, Oskeim leans with the neutral-field underdog.
LSU at +4 points or more would qualify as one of Oskeim’s free sports picks. although the predominant line at the time of this writing is +3.5.
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Philadelphia ace Aaron Nola is 15-3 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 27 starts this season, including going a perfect 9-0 with a 1.94 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at home.
In an effort to secure Philadelphia’s first series win in four weeks, manager Gabe Kapler moved up Nola’s start to Sunday. Nola has posted a 0.64 ERA in his last four starts, yielding two earned runs and sixteen hits across 28.0 innings of work.
The 25-year-old owns impressive peripherals, including a 2.62 xFIP, 3.27 xFIP and a 50.2% groundball rate. Nola induces a lot of soft contact (24.0% Hard%) and keeps the ball in play as evidenced by an elite 0.41 home runs-per-nine rate.
The Phillies are 21-6 in Nola’s last 27 home starts, 9-2 in his last eleven starts following a loss and 6-0 in his previous six outings versus teams with a winning record.
Chicago southpaw Jon Lester continues to outperform his peripherals, posting a 3.67 ERA despite owning a 4.78 FIP and a 4.66 xFIP. Lester finished August with a 5.81 ERA and 1.59 WHIP across 26.1 innings of work, together with a 5.39 FIP and a 2.05 HR/9 rate.
The concern for Philadelphia backers is the fact that Lester is 7-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in nine career starts against the Phillies.
However, Philadelphia is 21-7 in its last 28 home games versus left-handed starters and 4-0 in its last four game 3 clashes, whereas the Cubs are 3-8 in their last eleven road games versus foes with a .601 or greater home win percentage.
Finally, Philadelphia’s bullpen boasts a 3.24 ERA and 1.24 WHIP at home and a 2.77 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over its past seven games.
Take the Phillies and invest with confidence.
Oskeim Sports’ Free Sports Picks for Sunday, September 2:
- Philadelphia Phillies (-143) over Chicago Cubs
- Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) over Arizona Diamondbacks
If you can find LSU at +4 or more at -110 odds or better, Oskeim recommends a small wager on the Tigers in tonight’s college football game.