Oskeim Sports provides bettors with a free NCAA Basketball pick in Sunday’s game between Miami Florida and North Carolina State. Be sure to visit Oskeim’s Blog on a regular basis for another free NCAA Basketball pick.
North Carolina State has a potent offense that is averaging 80.8 points per game against teams that would combine to allow just 70.1 points per game to a mediocre attack. The Wolfpack are also 12-1 SU and 5-1 ATS at home this season where they are averaging 88.9 points per game on 49.2% shooting from the field.
Miami’s defense, which rates 11.7 points per game better than average (62.0 points per game to teams that would combine to average 73.7 points per game against a mediocre stop unit) will pose a challenge to the Wolfpacks’ attack.
However, North Carolina State has been a difficult out on its home floor where the Wolfpack have already taken down Duke (96-85; 12.5-point underdogs) and Clemson (78-77; 4-point underdogs) earlier this month.
Meanwhile, Miami arrives in town having lost three of its last 4 games, including an inexplicable 64-54 upset loss to Georgia Tech as a five-point favorite. One also has to question how much the Hurricanes have left in the tank for today’s contest as they are playing their four road game since December 30 and are coming off an emotional 83-75 loss to Duke on their home floor.
While North Carolina State takes the floor with the nation’s 45th-ranked offense, the Hurricanes possess an anemic attack is averaging just 73.2 points per game against teams that would combine to allow 71.0 points per game to a mediocre offense. More alarming is the fact that Miami is averaging just 67.9 points per game on the road this season!
The Hurricanes’ perimeter shooting has become extinct over the last five games where they are shooting 29.9% from beyond the arc. Let’s also note that Miami is one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the nation, converting just 63.8% from the charity stripe.
In contrast, North Carolina State is converting 70.5% of its foul shots at home this season. From a technical standpoint, Miami is a money-burning 1-9 ATS in its last ten January road affairs, 3-11 ATS after losing three of its last four games and 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games following one or more consecutive losses.
Off one straight-up loss exact, the Hurricanes are a woeful 8-21-1! With the home team standing at 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series and the underdog posting a 9-3-2 ATS mark in the last fourteen clashes, grab the available points with North Carolina State as Oskeim Sports’ Free NCAA Basketball pick for Sunday.
Oskeim Sports’ Free NCAA Basketball Pick for Sunday, January 21:
- North Carolina State (+2) (-120) over Miami Florida