Oskeim Sports’ Free Daily Sports Picks for Wednesday, June 28

Jun 28, 2017

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Oskeim Sports provides daily sports picks to serious sports investors who are interested in generating a significant return on investment. Oskeim Sports’ daily sports picks that have consistently outperformed the stock market.

Daily Sports Picks for Wednesday, June 28, 2017:

San Diego Padres (-116) over Atlanta Braves

Analysis: Atlanta right-hander Bartolo Colon has been activated from the disabled list (oblique injury) and gets the start tonight against the Padres.  Prior to getting injured, Colon had posted a 7.78 ERA, 5.12 FIP and 4.95 SIERA across twelve starts, a span covering 59.0 innings of work.

Colon has been susceptible to the long ball (1.68 HR/9) and posted his highest walk rate (2.59 BB/9) since 2009.  To be fair, Colon has been victimized by an unsustainable .353 BABIP (career .295 BABIP) and an unlucky 48.5% strand rate (career 72.6% LOB%).

“We’re going to break him out,” Braves manager Brian Snitker said.  “He threw a bullpen on Sunday and everything was good, so we just wanted to make sure after the off day to see how he was feeling. It’s all a go for Wednesday.”

San Diego sends Luis Perdomo to the mound, who toes the rubber in excellent form with a 2.41 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in his last three starts. The 24-year-old excels at keeping the ball on the ground as evidenced by his elite 65.1% ground ball rate.

The Padres are a profitable 4-1 in Perdomo’s last five home starts and 4-0 in his last four home outings against teams with a losing record. San Diego is also 10-4 in its last fourteen home games versus teams with a losing road record and 5-2 in its last seven home affairs against .499 or worse opposition.

I should also note that the Braves have lost 14 of their last seventeen games within the spacious confines of Petco Park.  Perdomo owns a decent 3.72 FIP and a 3.80 xFIP at home this season, together with a minuscule 0.60 HR/9 rate.

The underrated right-hander boasts an incredible 68.2% ground ball rate at Petco Park.  An unlucky 66.9% strand rate is the reason for Perdomo’s misleading 4.60 at home in 2017.

Take San Diego at a very reasonable price at home as one of Oskeim Sports’ daily sports picks for Wednesday, June 28.

Additional Daily Sports Picks:

Tampa Bay Rays (+117) over Pittsburgh Pirates

Detroit Tigers (-131) over Kansas City Royals