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Free Betting Tips: Behind Jose Berrios, Twins Look to End Skid

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Oskeim Sports provides free betting tips in all three major sports – football, basketball and baseball.  Be sure to visit Oskeim’s Blog on a regular basis for the best free betting tips in the industry. On Sunday, Oskeim recommends taking the Twins and Marlins as two of his free betting tips.

Minnesota is a profitable 16-5 in Jose Berrios’ last 21 home starts, 9-1 in Berrios’ last ten home outings versus teams with a losing record and 6-1 in his previous seven starts with four days of rest. Berrios toes the rubber with a 3.38 ERA, 3.46 FIP and 3.49 xFIP in fifteen starts this season (96.0 IP), together with 9.09 K/9 and 1.69 BB/9 rates.

The 24-year-old has been phenomenal at home where he owns a 2.93 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 2.43 FIP and 2.96 xFIP, together with 10.03 K/9, 1.54 BB/9 and 0.62 HR/9 rates. Berrios has only allowed one run in each of his last two outings and gave up two in the start before that.

Over his last seven outings, he is 4-1 with a 2.34 ERA. He was outstanding in his most recent start, holding the Red Sox to a run on five hits while striking out six over 6 1/3 innings Tuesday.

Berrios has been very strong in June, posting a 2.63 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 3.10 FIP and 3.28 xFIP across 27.1 innings of work (9.88 K/9 &1.65 BB/9). The young hurler now faces a scuffling Texas lineup that is averaging just 3.9 runs in afternoon affairs (.686 OPS), 4.0 runs per game on the road (.668 OPS) and 4.2 runs per game versus right-handed starters (.678 OPS).

Berrios’ counterpart, Bartolo Colon, takes the mound with a 5.11 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in thirteen starts this season. The ageless wonder also owns a 4.87 ERA and 1.20 WHIP on the road and an 8.16 ERA and 1.95 WHIP over his last three starts.

Colon is seeking a spot in the history books this afternoon after snapping a tie with Hall of Fame pitcher Juan Marichal earlier this week, becoming the winningest pitcher from the Dominican Republic. “I feel happy, of course, to pass a Hall of Famer, the first Dominican in the Hall of Fame,” Colon said.

Interestingly, Colon was 5-6 with a 5.18 ERA in fifteen starts for the Twins last season. The physical specimen has a 5.47 FIP, 5.47 K/9, 2.12 HR/9 and an alarming 44.1% hard contact rate.

Colon has benefitted from a lucky .257 BABIP, which is due for regression (career .295 BABIP). An increasing home run rate combined with a subpar 44.1% hard contact rate indicate that the 45-year-old is losing command of his 88-mph junk fastball.

In 17.1 June innings, Colon has posted a 9.87 ERA, 2.13 WHIP, 7.43 FIP and 5.55 xFIP, together with a season-low 4.67 K/9 rate and a season-high 3.12 HR/9 rate. A 54.8% hard contact rate this month further undermines any hope of success for Colon moving forward.

Texas first baseman Joey Gallo left Saturday’s game in the third inning after stretching a double. Gallo has been “battling some soreness” the last few days and is not expected to play this afternoon.

Minnesota’s bullpen has been bolstered by the promotion of right-hander Alan Busenitz from Triple-A Rochester, where he has a 1.27 ERA in 17 outings this season.  Take Minnesota as one of Oskeim Sports’ free betting tips for Sunday, June 24.

Oskeim Sports’ Free Betting Tips for June 24:

  • Minnesota Twins (-175) over Texas Rangers
  • Miami Marlins (+151) over Colorado Rockies

Please come back tomorrow for more free betting tips from the #1 documented sports handicapping service in the nation!