The best game on Saturday’s college football card is clearly Florida State at Clemson, and the experts at Pro Edge Sports have worked diligently to get you a full breakdown on this prime time contest. Florida State opened as 2.5-point road favorites, although sharp money has steadily come in on the Seminoles throughout the week. As of Sunday morning, Florida State is a 3.5-point road favorite, which is significant in that the professional bettors have driven the point spread through the key number of three. Please find below our Florida State at Clemson Betting Preview:
Florida State (-3.5) (-110) at Clemson
Fundamental Analysis:
- Florida State’s advantage in this game is on offense as the Seminoles are averaging 8.6 yards per play with quarterback Jameis Winston under center against teams tbat combine to allow just 5.8 yards per play. Overall, Florida State is an incredible 2.8 yards per play better than average offensively in 2013;
- Clemson’s defense is improved this season, but the Tigers’ stop unit is only 0.4 yards per play better than average (5.1 yards per play to teams that combine to average 5.5 yards per play). Based on these numbers, Florida State’s offense possesses a significant 2.4 yards per play advantage over the Tigers’ defense;
- The Tigers take the field with an explosive offense that is averaging 6.7 yards per play with quarterback Tajh Boyd in the game against teams that combine to allow 5.7 yards per play. Overall, Clemson is 1.0 yards per play better than average offensively this season;
- The problem for Clemson bettors is the fact that the Seminoles also possess an outstanding defense that is 1.2 yards per play better than average (4.4 yards per play to teams that combine to average 5.6 yards per play). Overall, Florida State maintains a nominal 0.2 yards per play advantage defensively over the Tigers’ attack.
While Florida State holds all of the edges from the line of scrimmage, the technical analysis favors Clemson. Specifically, undefeated college football underdogs are 47-26-2 ATS from Game Six out when matched up against an undefeated opponent, including 39-18-2 ATS off a win by seven or more points. The foregoing system improves to an eye-popping 24-4-2 ATS if the opponent is off an ATS win by seven or more points. Clemson is also 27-12 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to ten points and 9-2 ATS versus conference opponents.