College Football Betting Report: Market Liquidity & Action

Oct 18, 2013

Now that the betting market has enough liquidity, many betting groups and professional bettors have made it known which games are deserving of their money.  Pro Edge’s unmatched contacts throughout the industry allow us to give you first-hand knowledge of where the professionals are going with their sports wagers.  Please find below our college football betting report for week eight, which details which sides the sharps are favoring on Saturday.

Utah (+4) (-110) over Arizona

  • The sharps have driven the opening line of 6 down to 3.5/4 at most outlets as of Friday afternoon.  Apparently, the professionals are not concerned about a letdown from Utah, who is coming off the program’s first home win over a top 5-ranked opponent in school history;
  • Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham is 38-9 SU and 30-17-1 ATS versus teams off a loss, including 11-3 SU and 9-1 ATS when his team is not favored by more than three points.  In contrast, Arizona head coach Rich Rodriguez is 6-14 SU and 6-12-1 ATS following consecutive losses and 12-17-1 ATS as a favorite.

West Virginia (+5) (-110) over Texas Tech

  • In its last 54 home games, West Virginia has only lost two games by more than five points.  Let’s also note that the Mountaineers already upset Oklahoma State at home as 18-point underdogs earlier this season;
  • The Mountaineers are 21-3 SU at home when playing with rest, with the three losses coming by 1, 3 and 4 points, respectively;
  • The betting groups are certainly aware of the foregoing trends, which is why the opening number of 8 has been bet down to the current number of five.

UCLA (+4.5) (-110) over Stanford

  • The oddsmakers opened UCLA as 6-point underdogs and the sharps immediately jumped on the Bruins at that number.  As of Friday afternoon, UCLA is a 4.5-point underdog on the road against Stanford;
  • Professional bettors are aware of the fact that 5-0 teams who sustain their first loss of the season generally suffer a letdown in their next game.  This trend is enhanced if the once-undefeated team had national championship inspirations, which is certainly the case for Stanford;
  • UCLA is a very good team that is 1.5 yards per play better than average defensively and 0.4 yards per play better than average offensively.

The experts at Pro Edge agree with all three of the moves listed above, although critical line value has been lost with some.  If you would like to join a handicapping service that offers industry-leading transparency and results, contact Pro Edge Sports today and take the first step towards earning the second income you deserve.