College Football Betting Report & Syndicate Moves

Oct 10, 2013

Pro Edge Sports has been informed that a respected betting group has moved on four college football games this week: Buffalo, Kent State, North Texas and UT-San Antonio. Our experts have you covered with college football betting reports on each of those four games:

Buffalo (-10.5) (-110) at Western Michigan

  • Pro Edge actually disagrees with this syndicate move as winless college football teams in Game Seven  are 20-5 ATS since 1980, provided they are home underdogs and playing with revenge;
  • With that said, placing a wager on Western Michigan is a difficult proposition in that the Broncos are 0-5 and have been outscored by 23.2 points per game and outgained by 119 yards per game.

Kent State (+14.5) (-110) at Ball State

  • The situation certainly favors the road underdog in this contest as Ball State is coming off two emotional wins over Toledo and Virginia and is primed for a letdown. However, the Cardinals are 19-6 ATS over their last 25 games, including going 7-1 ATS as home favorites under head coach Pete Lembo;
  • Ball State maintains a 1.5 yards per play advantage offensively and a 0.4 yards per play advantage defensively from the line of scrimmage.  It could be argued that the Cardinals’ win last week was misleading in that Virginia coughed up four turnovers and committed thirteen penalties in its 48-27 loss!  Without knowing the mindset of Ball State this week, we suggest passing on this game. 

Middle Tennessee State at North Texas (-6.5) (-110)

  • The experts at Pro Edge Sports are very bullish on North Texas this season as the Mean Green are 2-0 at home where they are averaging 37.0 points per game, including 4.6 yards per rush play, 8.4 yards per pass attempt and 548 total yards (6.4 yards per play);
  • Middle Tennessee State has allowed 37.3 points per game in three road games this season, including 8.3 yards per pass attempt and 500 total yards on 6.1 yards per play.  North Texas has installed an up-tempo offense that is averaging 86 plays at home, and quarterback Derek Thompson has looked very comfortable leading the attack.  Pro Edge Sports likes the home favorite in this contest.

Rice at UT-San Antonio (-1.5) (-110)

  • Despite the disparate records between these two teams (Rice is 3-2; UTSA is 2-4), the Owls are being outgained by 14 yards per game, while the Roadrunners are being outgained by just 1 yard per game.  And, while Rice is coming off an overtime win over Tulsa last week, our database tells us that road favorites off an overtime win are 7-17-1 ATS versus an opponent off consecutive defeats with revenge;
  • This game provides a perfect illustration of how professional bettors consistently beat the closing line.  The professionals (i.e. “sharps”) grabbed UTSA at +2.5 earlier in the week; the betting public will inevitably chase the steam and take the Roadrunners at -1.5 points or worse.  The former wager is +EV; the latter wager is -EV.

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