I am always amazed at the number of sports bettors who troll handicapping forums, consensus sites and other forms of social media to find winning sports picks. In the end, these sports bettors find heartache and financial ruin as 99% of then handicapping industry consists of scam-artists, snake-oil salesmen and carnival operators. I am embarrassed by the current state of the handicapping industry, which is why I have done everything to offer serious sports investors a legitimate alternative to the the boiler-room operations and other nonsense that pervades the profession.
I am proud of the fact that Oskeim Sports offers industry-leading transparency, together with unparalleled results that have consistently out-performed the investment industry. I am also proud of the fact that my clients have grown to expect the most sophisticated and thorough research and analysis on the market, bar none. Below you will find example from today (3/9/14) of the daily analysis my clients receive in support of my investment advice.
Nebraska (+3) (-110) over Wisconsin
Investment Advice: The Cornhuskers are a 5* investment at +3 or more (at -120 odds or better) and become a 4* investment at +2 to +2.5 points.
Rotation Number: 832
Analysis: Nebraska welcomes Wisconsin to a sold-out Pinnacle Arena in what is arguably the biggest game in the program’s history. A standing-room only crowd is expected on Senior Night, and emotions will be running high as the Cornhuskers look to improve their NCAA Tournament resume with a third win over a Top 25 opponent this season. Nebraska’s resume is already impressive with wins over five teams that reached the Sweet 16 of last year’s NCAA Tournament – Florida Gulf Coast, Miami Florida, Ohio State, Indiana and Michigan State. Nebraska has won fourteen of its last 15 games at home and 16 of its last seventeen games overall dating back to last season, with the lone loss coming by one point to Michigan on January 9.
I also like the fact that the Cornhuskers are 11-2 (.846) in games decided by five points or less under head coach Tim Miles, 8-0 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record, 8-1 ATS versus teams who are outscoring their opponents by eight or more points per game and 39-15 ATS in competitively-priced games (+3 to -3), 13-4 ATS versus conference opponents, 8-2 ATS following a road game and 17-6 ATS as a home of three points or less. Nebraska also takes the floor playing its best basketball of the season as the Cornhuskers have won 9 of its last 11 games, including an impressive 70-60 road win against Indiana wherein they limited the Hoosiers to 37% shooting. What’s even more impressive is the fact that Indiana was the eighth consecutive opponent the Cornhuskers have held under 40% shooting from the field.
Nebraska is 14-1 SU and 11-3 ATS at home this season where the Cornhuskers are limiting opponents to a mere 59.3 points per game on 39.9% shooting from the field and 30.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Overall, the Cornhuskers are 5.7 points per game better than average defensively this season (64.6 points per game to teams that would combine to average 70.3 points per game), which is good enough to contain a Wisconsin offense that is 6.5 points per game better than average (73.3 points per game against teams that would combine to allow 66.8 points per game). Nebraska’s second half surge has been predicated upon defensive improvement as the Cornhuskers has held ten of their last 13 opponents to to under 40% shooting from the field. Nebraska is second in conference games in scoring defense (63.1) and third in field goal percentage defense (.414).
Nebraska coach Tim Miles has done a tremendous job in improving the Cornhuskers’ efficiency on the offensive end of the floor. Indeed, Nebraska’s tempo has improved dramatically as the Cornhuskers were over 300th in adjusted tempo in each of the last three seasons and are now 220th this season. Overall, Nebraska is averaging 66.7 points per game against teams that would combine to allow 66.4 points per game, thereby making the Cornhuskers 0.3 points per game better than average offensively. Nebraska’s 8.4 points more per game improvement over last season is on pace to be the Cornhuskers’ largest scoring increase since the mid-1960s.
Nebraska Sophomore Terran Petteway enters the week leading the Big Ten in scoring at 17.8 points per game and has reached double-figures in 27 of his last 29 games, including 16 of 17 Big ten contests. Meanwhile, the improvement of Shavon Shields this season has been remarkable. Shields is averaging 12.2 points and 5.9 rebounds per game and has saved his best for last as he is averaging 15.0 points and 6.3 rebounds over the last month. Shields has reached double-figures eighteen times and has grabbed at least six rebounds seventeen times this season. In two season under coach Miles, Nebraska is 25-8 when scoring over 60 points.
I also like the fact that coach Miles has instilled a level of discipline and focus that has been missing at Nebraska for years. Nebraska finished 10th nationally with 10.7 turnovers per game last season, and the Cornhuskers are once again among the national leaders this season. Finally, Nebraska is looking to put an end to its five-game losing streak to the Badgers and the Cornhuskers have not forgotten their 77-46 loss to Wisconsin last year. Look for Nebraska to secure its eleventh conference win for the first time since 1965-1966 and improve to 15-1 at home this season. Grab the points and invest with confidence.