National League Central Clash: St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

Jun 3, 2017

chicago cubs, chicago cubs betting preview, chicago cubs sports picks

Chicago southpaw Jon Lester has been phenomenal at Wrigley Field this season as evidenced by his 1.80 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in six starts.  Lester has also garnered a 2.04 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in fourteen career starts against the Cardinals.

Technically speaking, the Chicago Cubs are 22-6 in Lester’s last 28 home starts, 13-5 in Lester’s last 18 starts versus .501 or greater opposition, 10-4 in his last fourteen starts during game 2 of a series and 21-9 in his last thirty starts overall.

Lester’s surface statistics at home are fully supported by solid peripherals, including a 2.31 FIP and 3.28 xFIP. Meanwhile, the Cardinals’ scuffling lineup is averaging just 3.4 runs per game versus left-handed starters (.289 OBP; .623 OPS), 3.8 runs per game versus division foes and 2.3 runs over the last seven games (.280 OBP; .660 OPS).  In contrast, the Cubs are averaging 5.7 runs per game in division play and 5.1 runs per game at home.

Lester is backed by a very good Chicago bullpen that owns a 3.18 ERA and 1.21 WHIP this season, including posting a 1.61 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in its last seven games.  St. Louis relievers enter today’s game with a 4.76 ERA and 1.45 WHIP on the road and an 8.66 ERA and 1.92 WHIP over their last seven games.

Technically speaking, the Cardinals are a money-burning 5-11 in their last sixteen games overall, 2-8 in their last ten road games versus teams with a winning home mark and 2-7 in Mike Leake’s last nine starts against National League Central opposition.

I also like the fact that the Chicago Cubs are an incredible 28-7 versus starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.25 or less and 19-2 in Lester’s last 21 home starts as a favorite of -150 or more, whereas St. Louis is 6-14 in Leake’s last 20 starts against division opponents.

Finally, in Leake’s last four trips to Wrigley Field, he has yielded a combined fifteen earned runs on 25 hits in 21 1/3 innings of work.  Lay the price with the Chicago Cubs and invest with confidence.

Oskeim Sports Free Pick for Saturday, June 3: Chicago Cubs