Pro Edge Sports has been extremely impressed with the job head coach George O’Leary has done with Central Florida this season. The Golden Knights are a perfect 3-0, including an impressive 34-31 road win over an underrated Penn State squad. The oddsmakers have installed Central Florida as 7.5-point home underdogs against the Gamecocks, and we believe the Golden Knights possess the athleticism to defeat South Carolina.
Central Florida (+7.5) (-110) over South Carolina
Fundamental Analysis:
- Central Florida is averaging 36.7 points per game this season, including 11.1 yards per pass attempt, 7.2 yards per play and 12.5 yards per point;
- Overall, the Golden Knights are 0.3 yards per rush play, 3.4 yards per pass attempt and 1.3 yards per play better than average offensively;
- Central Florida is limiting opponents to 12.7 points per game, including 293 total yards per game. Overall, the Knights are 0.7 yards per pass attempt and 0.2 yards per play better than average defensively in 2013;
- South Carolina is 1.6 yards per play better than average offensively and 1.3 yards per play better than average defensively this season.
If you believe Central Florida has the offensive capability to score at least 28 points in this game, the Knights warrant a wager in that the Gamecocks are 18-61 ATS when allowing 28 or more points since 1992. Not surprisingly, Central Florida is 14-5 ATS in games in which they score 28 or more points over the last three seasons.
As stated above, the Knights are averaging 36.7 points per game this season (38.0 points per game at home), and they are evenly matched against South Carolina’s defense (both units are 1.3 yards per play better than average). Pro Edge also likes the fact that coach O’Leary is 32-21 ATS at home during his tenure at UCF and 54-35 ATS in the first half of the season over his coaching career. If you like Central Florida in this game, we strongly recommend placing a wager as soon as possible to secure the best line value.