For the first time in roughly 20 years, we are going to have to work to make some money on the AFC East. With Tom Brady joining the Tampa Bay Buccaneers there are question marks in New England for the first time in two decades.
Was it Tom? Is it Bill? Was the assumption that it was the perfect blend of both the correct answer? We are all going to find out together this fall. In the meantime…
History would suggest…
Of the division previews that we are going to release, the history of the AFC East is the historical data that means the least given the reasons above. Since the year 2000, the Patriots have won 17 division titles including every single one since 2009.
It is absolutely ridiculous. Throw out the history book this year, it does not matter. Unless of course, they win it again, which is cement Coach Belichick as the single most brilliant football mind that has ever walked the planet.
The Favorite
This is really interesting. The Patriots opened up at (-400) to win the division. They are currently at (+125) of Bovada and (+100) on BetOnline as bandwagon fans continue to purchase Mahomes jerseys.
The fact that you can receive plus money for an organization that has won 11 straight division titles is intriguing but there is no value in a losing bet and if the plan is to put Jarrett Stidham under center, I think I am going to pass.
The Value Play
The Bills have jumped from (+450) when the odds were released to (+130) on Bovada and (+150) on Betonline. Buffalo finished 10-6 last season and played in the wild card game, losing to the Houston Texans in overtime, 10-7.
This offseason they have traded for Stefon Diggs on the offensive side and added Josh Norman, Mario Addison, and AJ Klein to the defense. If Josh Allen continues to progress, the Bills the likely choice to supplant the Patriots atop the division.
No thanks, I’m driving
In a year when there was more quarterback talent than maybe EVER, the Miami Dolphins decided to stand pat with Ryan Fitzpatrick while they went out and addressed almost every other need on their roster. For whatever reason, Dolphins ownership just hasn’t been able to figure it out since the retirement of Dan Marino.
The additions of Byron Jones, Shaq Lawson, and Kyle Van Noy are great and they will probably make it to the bench after some three and outs just in time for Fitz-magic to turn the ball over again. The Dolphins are currently the longshot at (+850) on Bovada and (+1000) on BetOnline.
In the ultimate “no thanks, I’m driving”, the NY Jets arrive just ahead of the Dolphins at (+800) on Bovada and (+700) on BetOnline after opening at (+1400). This is an organization that couldn’t get out its own way with a map, starts a quarterback who sees ghosts and suffers from high school kissing diseases and boasts a group of wide receivers led by Jamison Crowder.
They also spent a bunch of money on Le’Veon Bell only to target Demaryius Thomas more times per game. Are you willing to put money on that sort of nonsense?
My Pick
I am going to go with the Bills here. Buffalo’s quarterback situation is the most stable and talented of any team in the division and they have a coach in Sean McDermott who is criminally underrated in my opinion.
If I want to really gamble here I may sprinkle on the Dolphins but that would just be for fun. If I am interested in just making money, Buffalo is the route that I am taking. Take Buffalo at RealBookies.com ; our favorite pay per head bookie site.
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