Betting Group Moves on the Bears & Bengals Early

Oct 1, 2013

We have received word that a respected betting group north of the border has made significant wagers on both the Chicago Bears and Cincinnati Bengals in Week Five of the NFL.  Let’s take a look at why this particular syndicate likes both the Bears and Bengals:

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (pk) (-110)

  • Despite allowing just 12.7 points per game this season, the Saints are incapable of stopping the run as they are allowing 5.3 yards per rush play to teams that combine to average just 3.8 yards per carry.  Overall, New Orleans is 1.5 yards per rush play worse than average defensively, which is excellent news for Chicago fans/investors;
  • Indeed, the Bears are averaging 4.6 yards per rush play against teams that combine to allow 4.2 yards per carry, thereby making Chicago 0.4 yards per rush play better than average offensively this season;
  • From the line of scrimmage, the Bears maintain a huge 1.9 yards per rush play advantage over New Orleans’ run defense.  Chicago also has a 0.3 yards per play advantage offensively in this contest, and the Bears possess an explosive offense that is averaging 11.1 yards per point.
  • The concern for Chicago investors is the fact that the Bears are yielding 28.5 points per game, including 6.3 yards per play to teams that combine to average 5.8 yards per play.  Overall, New Orleans possesses a 1.1 yards per play advantage offensively over the Bears’ stop unit (or lack thereof);
  • The situation certainly favors the Bears as New Orleans is coming off an emotional Monday night affair and has to travel on a short week.

New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals (-1) (-110) 

  • The Patriots are 0.2 yards per play worse than average offensively and 0.1 yards per play better than average defensively in 2013;
  • The Bengals are 0.3 yards per play worse than average offensively and 0.7 yards per play better than average defensively this season;
  • New England is 79-45 ATS as underdogs, including 58-37 ATS as road underdogs. The Bengals are 30-48 ATS in October and 58-90 ATS in the first half of the regular season.
  • The NFL is a contrarian league, a fact that certainly dictates a look at the Bengals as they are coming off a disappointing 17-7 loss to Cleveland, whereas New England remains perfect on the year after a dominating 30-23 win over the Falcons Sunday night.

The experts are still working on the upcoming NFL card and have not made any moves yet.  However, our members cashed another prime time winner last night on the New Orleans Saints.  Remember, all new members receive an unconditional 10% discount on their first purchase at the online store and a 20% discount on all future renewals.